School Transition Estimation and Projection (STEP) model: Update on model development and activities

School Transition Estimation and Projection (STEP) model: Update on model development and activities

In this presentation, we introduce and describe our research collaboration with the Australian Capital Territory’s (ACT) Education Directorate to develop an analysis and projection tool for school enrolments. The School Transition Estimation and Projection (STEP) model simultaneously projects 130 public, Catholic and independent schools in the ACT by year and academic level using detailed administrative record-level data. The STEP model allows the tracking of student cohorts over time and projection of the main sources of enrolment, including pre-school entries, migration, school-to-school transfers, and graduation. The enrolment projections are based on patterns found in the historical data and the design of the model ensures consistency across schools and transparency in the sources of change, which can be linked to policy levers.

Date & time

Tue 30 Mar 2021, 1:30am to 2:30pm

Location

Meeting ID: 965 1620 7694 P/W: 890202

Speakers

Professor James Raymer, Professor Edith Gray and Dr Lili Xiang, School of Demography ANU

Contacts

Susan Cowan
62813038

SHARE

Updated:  29 March 2021/Responsible Officer:  Head of School/Page Contact:  CASS Marketing & Communications