Geographic variation in fertility across Australia

Abstract: Australia has moderately high fertility compared to many Western-industrialized countries. The current TFR is around 1.88, but fertility levels are not uniform across the country. There is a distinct geographic pattern with the TFR about 0.5 higher in remote and very remote Australia (2.33) compared to major cities (1.82). In this seminar we examine two explanations for this pattern: the compositional hypothesis and the contextual hypothesis. We use two approaches:  event-history methods with joint modelling to investigate parity progression and geographically weighted regression to investigate fertility rates. We discuss the spatial differences in fertility considering age, country of birth, Indigenous status, relationship status, education levels, and economic activity.

Date & time

Fri 04 Aug 2017, 3:00pm to 4:00pm


Jean Martin Room, Level 3. Beryl Rawson Building (Building 13) ANU


Ann Evans and Edith Gray


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